Calling all GW fanatics - let me introduce to you...

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by IDoLessWorkThanMost, Jul 5, 2008.

  1. IDoLessWorkThanMost

    IDoLessWorkThanMost New Member

    .....BERTHA!

    EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
    NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
    145 PM EDT SAT JUL 05 2008

    VALID 12Z TUE JUL 08 2008 - 12Z SAT JUL 12 2008

    THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS ARE MUCH CLOSER ACROSS THE UNITED
    STATES DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD THAN OTHER RECENT
    CYCLES...SHOWING ONE LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH TRAVERSING SOUTHEASTERN
    CANADA...AND ANOTHER HIGHER AMPLITUDE WAVE DIGGING INTO THE
    PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY DAYS 5 AND 6. THE 00Z UKMET SHOWS SLIGHTLY
    LESS AMPLITUDE FOR BOTH TROUGHS...AS DO THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE
    MEANS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF...WHICH SEEMS TO BE A REASONABLE
    CORRECTIVE CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR. THE GEM GLOBAL IS ON ITS
    OWN WITH A FASTER...MORE WOUND UP VORTEX CROSSING THE SOUTHERN
    PRAIRIES OF CANADA LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
    UPDATED PRELIM ADJUSTMENTS WITH LATER GUIDANCE USES ECMWF DAYS 3-5
    AND A 70/30 ECMWF ENS MEAN/ECMWF DAYS 6-7.

    LATEST 12Z GFS REMAINS CLOSE TO ITS PRIOR RUN AND GFS/ECMWF
    ENSEMBLES THRU DAY 6. BY DAY 7 SAT IT PUSHES A FRONT FASTER THRU
    THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HPC PREFERENCE TO STAY WITH THE PRIOR
    MAJORITY ENSEMBLE SOLUTION LATE PERIOD.

    TS BERTHA FORECAST TO BECOME HURRICANE MAY APPROACH THE BAHAMAS
    AND SOUTHEAST SEABOARD NEXT WEEKEND UNDER MID LEVEL RIDGING. SEE
    NHC DISCUSSIONS/ADVISORIES.
    CISCO/ROSENSTEIN



    So when will the big news outlets begin their careless crusade and GW dribble related to this hurricane season? Over/Under July 8th
     
  2. hseofpayne

    hseofpayne Guest

    Everybody knows Pres. Bush has this great big globe in the Oval Office that he can put his finger on and lead hurricanes anywhere he wants to! That's what happened with Katrina, ain't it?