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I would like to hear some opinions on this.
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<blockquote data-quote="wkmac" data-source="post: 269965" data-attributes="member: 2189"><p>Typically that seems like a wise and practical approach but it does have it's faults as well. Just consider what UN scientists over the last couple of days have admitted in regards to the overstating of African AIDS cases. It's not saying there isn't a problem but the ways data was collected and used to interpret it to identify actual cases was faulty and thus the conclusion was faulty. They've now adjusted to meet the facts for a better picture.</p><p> </p><p><a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/worldnews.html?in_article_id=495197&in_page_id=1811&ito=1490" target="_blank">http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/worldnews.html?in_article_id=495197&in_page_id=1811&ito=1490</a></p><p> </p><p>Not many years ago many of the most prominent scientists were saying we were headed towards another ice age and that they saw signs of global cooling and now it's global warming. Now this could have been a result of making an adjustment to data in a new field of research and now the global warming model is more accurate or our weather patterns, solar activities, etc. are more vastly dynamic that we thought and this may or may not prove itself in the few years ahead as temps swing back to a cooler state. I said may or may not, not it will so don't go "GLOBAL" on me!</p><p><img src="/community/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/FeltTip/wink.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":wink2:" title="Wink :wink2:" data-shortname=":wink2:" /></p><p> </p><p>Our ability to document and study such endeavors is really less than 100 years old and although we have some documentation of historical patterns, we may not have the definded facts and details to make a hard analyst. This IMO is a learning process and mistakes will happen and the trend is to push the worse case scenario because everyone is scared to be caught pushing a Thunderstorm front moving towards New Orleans when it's really Katrina. Project the worse and hope for the best!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="wkmac, post: 269965, member: 2189"] Typically that seems like a wise and practical approach but it does have it's faults as well. Just consider what UN scientists over the last couple of days have admitted in regards to the overstating of African AIDS cases. It's not saying there isn't a problem but the ways data was collected and used to interpret it to identify actual cases was faulty and thus the conclusion was faulty. They've now adjusted to meet the facts for a better picture. [URL]http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/worldnews.html?in_article_id=495197&in_page_id=1811&ito=1490[/URL] Not many years ago many of the most prominent scientists were saying we were headed towards another ice age and that they saw signs of global cooling and now it's global warming. Now this could have been a result of making an adjustment to data in a new field of research and now the global warming model is more accurate or our weather patterns, solar activities, etc. are more vastly dynamic that we thought and this may or may not prove itself in the few years ahead as temps swing back to a cooler state. I said may or may not, not it will so don't go "GLOBAL" on me! :wink2: Our ability to document and study such endeavors is really less than 100 years old and although we have some documentation of historical patterns, we may not have the definded facts and details to make a hard analyst. This IMO is a learning process and mistakes will happen and the trend is to push the worse case scenario because everyone is scared to be caught pushing a Thunderstorm front moving towards New Orleans when it's really Katrina. Project the worse and hope for the best! [/QUOTE]
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