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<blockquote data-quote="my2cents" data-source="post: 54684"><p>Once the company is able to pinpoint the reasons for the missed projection, they should publically state them, even if negative. This should help take the current uncertainty out of the stock price. No doubt the market will give greater scrutiny to future earnings projections. It appears the market views UPS as the bellweather stock of the Dow Jones Transportation Index and as one of the barometers of the overall domestic economy, as part of the GDP passes through the delivery network each day. Bad volume projections are currently being interpreted by the market as either unforeseen weakness in the general economy and/or as an erosion of market share to the competition. Either way, once bad data is exposed, the market will punish the stock. Furthermore, given the above, IMO, the stock will probably see increased volitility in the future. The days of the stock trading in a sideways pattern over the first few years of public life are probably over for the time being. It will be interesting to see how the downside breakaway gap on the stock price chart fills over time.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="my2cents, post: 54684"] Once the company is able to pinpoint the reasons for the missed projection, they should publically state them, even if negative. This should help take the current uncertainty out of the stock price. No doubt the market will give greater scrutiny to future earnings projections. It appears the market views UPS as the bellweather stock of the Dow Jones Transportation Index and as one of the barometers of the overall domestic economy, as part of the GDP passes through the delivery network each day. Bad volume projections are currently being interpreted by the market as either unforeseen weakness in the general economy and/or as an erosion of market share to the competition. Either way, once bad data is exposed, the market will punish the stock. Furthermore, given the above, IMO, the stock will probably see increased volitility in the future. The days of the stock trading in a sideways pattern over the first few years of public life are probably over for the time being. It will be interesting to see how the downside breakaway gap on the stock price chart fills over time. [/QUOTE]
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