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Why can't we get an accurate volume projection for our sort?
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<blockquote data-quote="curiousbrain" data-source="post: 1132856" data-attributes="member: 31608"><p>Yeah, it's historical, but it's also fed from other sources (inbounded loads? not sure).</p><p></p><p>As an example, when I first walk in, the volume friend&A will be N; wait twenty minutes, and N will jump by some arbitrary metric - so, causality kind of determines that it is not all just historical, there is some "active" (or foreground, if you prefer) number crunching going on.</p><p></p><p>A few things I've noticed.</p><p></p><p>Watch the percent-to-match on each days sort; if it is 80 percent or something "not close" to 100%, expect to get really whacked the next day, regardless of what some tie-wearing <img src="/community/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/group1/censored2.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":censored2:" title="Censored2 :censored2:" data-shortname=":censored2:" /> in IE says.</p><p></p><p>Also, the feeder guys and hub sups lie constantly on the trailer percentages - for different reasons I'm sure; honestly, the reason is immaterial from my perspective, as the functional reality is the same. From what I've heard, if a feeder guy pulls low percentage trailers enough, the route will be axed, combo'd, or something I don't fully understand; but, basically, some of them fudge the percentages as a sort of "job security". I'm sure it's not an advisable practice, as if they ever got caught and the company disliked them, it'd be a slam dunk termination.</p><p></p><p>Another thing is that not every shipper in the known world does a proper EOD with Worldship (or whatever it is called), so the data is not always correctly transmitted to UPS and it's subordinate systems.</p><p></p><p>I've been around the building I work in long enough to have a feel for the volume on specific days, and the trailer count/percentages (even if they are wrong in the absolute sense, I know what a "65% long box on Monday" really is versus a "65% longbox on Tuesday"), that I only use DMS/PKG as a guideline; I have an internal barometer that says volume will be "this" - unless things are totally crazy, I'm usually within a hundred or two packages.</p><p></p><p>Granted, I don't deal with 70k a day, more like 10 - 13k during the normal year; so, good luck having a barometer in a major hub I would imagine.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="curiousbrain, post: 1132856, member: 31608"] Yeah, it's historical, but it's also fed from other sources (inbounded loads? not sure). As an example, when I first walk in, the volume friend&A will be N; wait twenty minutes, and N will jump by some arbitrary metric - so, causality kind of determines that it is not all just historical, there is some "active" (or foreground, if you prefer) number crunching going on. A few things I've noticed. Watch the percent-to-match on each days sort; if it is 80 percent or something "not close" to 100%, expect to get really whacked the next day, regardless of what some tie-wearing :censored: in IE says. Also, the feeder guys and hub sups lie constantly on the trailer percentages - for different reasons I'm sure; honestly, the reason is immaterial from my perspective, as the functional reality is the same. From what I've heard, if a feeder guy pulls low percentage trailers enough, the route will be axed, combo'd, or something I don't fully understand; but, basically, some of them fudge the percentages as a sort of "job security". I'm sure it's not an advisable practice, as if they ever got caught and the company disliked them, it'd be a slam dunk termination. Another thing is that not every shipper in the known world does a proper EOD with Worldship (or whatever it is called), so the data is not always correctly transmitted to UPS and it's subordinate systems. I've been around the building I work in long enough to have a feel for the volume on specific days, and the trailer count/percentages (even if they are wrong in the absolute sense, I know what a "65% long box on Monday" really is versus a "65% longbox on Tuesday"), that I only use DMS/PKG as a guideline; I have an internal barometer that says volume will be "this" - unless things are totally crazy, I'm usually within a hundred or two packages. Granted, I don't deal with 70k a day, more like 10 - 13k during the normal year; so, good luck having a barometer in a major hub I would imagine. [/QUOTE]
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Why can't we get an accurate volume projection for our sort?
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