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<blockquote data-quote="Box Ox" data-source="post: 5823598" data-attributes="member: 48469"><p><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/punxsutawney-phil-groundhog-day-predictions-accuracy/#:~:text=Phil%27s%20accuracy%20rate%20over%20the,first%20recorded%20prediction%20in%201887." target="_blank">How accurate are Punxsutawney Phil's Groundhog Day predictions? - CBS News</a></p><p></p><p>February 2, 2024</p><p></p><p>"Punxsutawney Phil is a groundhog, not a meteorologist. Between 2013 and 2023, he saw his shadow seven times, and of those seven, he was correct only once. </p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/groundhog-day-forecasts-and-climate-history" target="_blank">NOAA's determinations</a> on Phil's accuracy are based on temperatures in February and March. Here's how it breaks down:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2013</strong>: No shadow — His prediction was right.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2014</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was right.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2015</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2016</strong>: No shadow — His prediction was right.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2017</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2018</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2019</strong>: No shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2020</strong>: No shadow — His prediction was right.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2021</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2022</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>2023</strong>: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. </li> </ul><p>Phil's accuracy rate over the time period was 36%. Overall, the Stormfax Almanac <a href="http://www.stormfax.com/ghogday.htm" target="_blank">says</a>, Phil has only been right 39% of the time going back to his first recorded prediction in 1887."</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Box Ox, post: 5823598, member: 48469"] [URL='https://www.cbsnews.com/news/punxsutawney-phil-groundhog-day-predictions-accuracy/#:~:text=Phil%27s%20accuracy%20rate%20over%20the,first%20recorded%20prediction%20in%201887.']How accurate are Punxsutawney Phil's Groundhog Day predictions? - CBS News[/URL] February 2, 2024 "Punxsutawney Phil is a groundhog, not a meteorologist. Between 2013 and 2023, he saw his shadow seven times, and of those seven, he was correct only once. [URL='https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/groundhog-day-forecasts-and-climate-history']NOAA's determinations[/URL] on Phil's accuracy are based on temperatures in February and March. Here's how it breaks down: [LIST] [*][B]2013[/B]: No shadow — His prediction was right. [*][B]2014[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was right. [*][B]2015[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2016[/B]: No shadow — His prediction was right. [*][B]2017[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2018[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2019[/B]: No shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2020[/B]: No shadow — His prediction was right. [*][B]2021[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2022[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [*][B]2023[/B]: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. [/LIST] Phil's accuracy rate over the time period was 36%. Overall, the Stormfax Almanac [URL='http://www.stormfax.com/ghogday.htm']says[/URL], Phil has only been right 39% of the time going back to his first recorded prediction in 1887." [/QUOTE]
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