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Message: <blockquote data-quote="The Other Side" data-source="post: 993322" data-attributes="member: 17969">YOU folks are incapable of understanding polling.  FROM THE SAME POLL, you have to read this component of the SAME POLL. Yet Romney faces significant challenges of his own in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. His supporters are more apt to be against Obama than explicitly for Romney – a "negative" vote that can be less compelling than an affirmative one. His supporters are less strongly 2 enthusiastic than Obama’s. While Obama is vulnerable on the economy, Romney is weakly rated on having offered a clear economic plan. And Obama leads on a range of personal attributes – empathy, standing up for his beliefs and, especially, basic likeability. Obama also continues to prevail in expectations: Despite his troubles, this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds that Americans by 58-34 percent expect him ultimately to defeat Romney and win a second term. That’s Obama’s best on this gauge to date (previously measured against "the Republican nominee"), a sharp difference from last October, when, with economic discontent at a higher pitch, 55 percent thought Obama would lose. Today, even among Romney’s supporters, a quarter think Obama will win. With a 47-47 percent Obama-Romney contest among registered voters, the overall results point to a sharply defined race: On one hand Obama, the more personally popular candidate, with a larger and more energized partisan base, yet weak performance scores; on the other Romney, his opportunities to capitalize on Obama’s vulnerabilities complicated by his difficulties in capturing the public’s imagination. Helpful to Obama, given the economy, is the fact that in deciding their vote, Americans by 51-33 percent are focused more on what he’d do in his second term as president than on what he’s done in his first. Among registered voters who are more concerned about what Obama’s done so far, Romney leads by 18 points, 55-37 percent. Among those more focused on what he’d do if 3 elected to a second term, by contrast, Obama leads by 59-36 percent, a 23-point margin. It marks why he’s trying to point ahead ("Forward" is the campaign slogan); Romney, back. <a href="http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1138a1The2012Election.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1138a1The2012Election.pdf</a>      look at the chart called WHO DO YOU THINK WILL WIN?Read it and weep.PeaceTOS</blockquote>

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