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<blockquote data-quote="zubenelgenubi" data-source="post: 4665957" data-attributes="member: 63706"><p>My understanding is that it comes down to who did the strongest in the primaries. It makes sense considering incumbents tend to win more often. When you have so many potentials that people feel strongly about, and their guy didn't win the primary, it can split up a party's votes. Most probably going independent. When everyone is on board early with a single candidate, the party is more likely to see fidelity among their voters. In this case I have been hearing quite a bit about regular people leaving the Democratic party because they realize that the entire party, not just certain members, does not serve the public's interest at all anymore. </p><p></p><p>Like everyone else, I'd like to believe my read of the situation is accurate, and I'd tend to say that Trump is going to win again. But I also felt pretty certain Clinton was going to win last time. I also would have sworn Trump was only running and doing his antics to ensure a Clinton win, so who knows?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="zubenelgenubi, post: 4665957, member: 63706"] My understanding is that it comes down to who did the strongest in the primaries. It makes sense considering incumbents tend to win more often. When you have so many potentials that people feel strongly about, and their guy didn't win the primary, it can split up a party's votes. Most probably going independent. When everyone is on board early with a single candidate, the party is more likely to see fidelity among their voters. In this case I have been hearing quite a bit about regular people leaving the Democratic party because they realize that the entire party, not just certain members, does not serve the public's interest at all anymore. Like everyone else, I'd like to believe my read of the situation is accurate, and I'd tend to say that Trump is going to win again. But I also felt pretty certain Clinton was going to win last time. I also would have sworn Trump was only running and doing his antics to ensure a Clinton win, so who knows? [/QUOTE]
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