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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Jones" data-source="post: 969524" data-attributes="member: 4805"><p>That's really what the election will hinge on. Obama didn't win last time because people got all caught up in his rhetoric, he won because the economy had tanked and people were profoundly unhappy with Bush and the republicans and I don't expect that the dynamics of this election will be much different. If the economy really does pick up steam Obama will win easily, if it tanks again then he's in big trouble. If it kinda keeps going along in a weak recovery like it has been then he has an advantage but it's not a lock and he'll have to campaign pretty hard.</p></blockquote><p></p>