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<blockquote data-quote="DriveInDriveOut" data-source="post: 4430982" data-attributes="member: 44954"><p>You have a<strong><span style="color: #ff0000"> k</span>nack</strong> for being completely wrong.</p><p></p><p></p><p><strong><span style="font-size: 18px">On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia</span></strong></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.<a href="https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#" target="_blank">4</a> In another article in the <em>Journal</em>, Guan et al.<a href="https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#" target="_blank">5</a> report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, </span><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of</span><span style="font-size: 18px"> </span></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza</strong></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 12px">(which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.<a href="https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#" target="_blank">2</a></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DriveInDriveOut, post: 4430982, member: 44954"] You have a[B][COLOR=#ff0000] k[/COLOR]nack[/B] for being completely wrong. [B][SIZE=5]On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia[/SIZE][/B] [SIZE=3]currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.[URL='https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#']4[/URL] In another article in the [I]Journal[/I], Guan et al.[URL='https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#']5[/URL] report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, [/SIZE][SIZE=5][B]the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.[/B][/SIZE] [SIZE=3]This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of[/SIZE][SIZE=5][B] [/B] [B]Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza[/B][/SIZE] [SIZE=3](which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.[URL='https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387#']2[/URL][/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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