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Calling all GW fanatics - let me introduce to you...
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<blockquote data-quote="IDoLessWorkThanMost" data-source="post: 364243" data-attributes="member: 12912"><p>.....BERTHA!</p><p></p><p>EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION</p><p>NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD</p><p>145 PM EDT SAT JUL 05 2008</p><p> </p><p>VALID 12Z TUE JUL 08 2008 - 12Z SAT JUL 12 2008</p><p> </p><p>THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS ARE MUCH CLOSER ACROSS THE UNITED</p><p>STATES DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD THAN OTHER RECENT</p><p>CYCLES...SHOWING ONE LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH TRAVERSING SOUTHEASTERN</p><p>CANADA...AND ANOTHER HIGHER AMPLITUDE WAVE DIGGING INTO THE</p><p>PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY DAYS 5 AND 6. THE 00Z UKMET SHOWS SLIGHTLY</p><p>LESS AMPLITUDE FOR BOTH TROUGHS...AS DO THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE</p><p>MEANS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF...WHICH SEEMS TO BE A REASONABLE</p><p>CORRECTIVE CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR. THE GEM GLOBAL IS ON ITS</p><p>OWN WITH A FASTER...MORE WOUND UP VORTEX CROSSING THE SOUTHERN</p><p>PRAIRIES OF CANADA LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.</p><p>UPDATED PRELIM ADJUSTMENTS WITH LATER GUIDANCE USES ECMWF DAYS 3-5</p><p>AND A 70/30 ECMWF ENS MEAN/ECMWF DAYS 6-7.</p><p></p><p>LATEST 12Z GFS REMAINS CLOSE TO ITS PRIOR RUN AND GFS/ECMWF</p><p>ENSEMBLES THRU DAY 6. BY DAY 7 SAT IT PUSHES A FRONT FASTER THRU</p><p>THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HPC PREFERENCE TO STAY WITH THE PRIOR</p><p>MAJORITY ENSEMBLE SOLUTION LATE PERIOD. </p><p></p><p><strong>TS BERTHA FORECAST TO BECOME HURRICANE MAY APPROACH THE BAHAMAS</strong></p><p><strong>AND SOUTHEAST SEABOARD NEXT WEEKEND UNDER MID LEVEL RIDGING. SEE</strong></p><p><strong>NHC DISCUSSIONS/ADVISORIES.</strong></p><p><strong>CISCO/ROSENSTEIN </strong></p><p></p><p></p><p>So when will the big news outlets begin their careless crusade and GW dribble related to this hurricane season? Over/Under July 8th</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="IDoLessWorkThanMost, post: 364243, member: 12912"] .....BERTHA! EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 145 PM EDT SAT JUL 05 2008 VALID 12Z TUE JUL 08 2008 - 12Z SAT JUL 12 2008 THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS ARE MUCH CLOSER ACROSS THE UNITED STATES DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD THAN OTHER RECENT CYCLES...SHOWING ONE LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH TRAVERSING SOUTHEASTERN CANADA...AND ANOTHER HIGHER AMPLITUDE WAVE DIGGING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY DAYS 5 AND 6. THE 00Z UKMET SHOWS SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLITUDE FOR BOTH TROUGHS...AS DO THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF...WHICH SEEMS TO BE A REASONABLE CORRECTIVE CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR. THE GEM GLOBAL IS ON ITS OWN WITH A FASTER...MORE WOUND UP VORTEX CROSSING THE SOUTHERN PRAIRIES OF CANADA LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. UPDATED PRELIM ADJUSTMENTS WITH LATER GUIDANCE USES ECMWF DAYS 3-5 AND A 70/30 ECMWF ENS MEAN/ECMWF DAYS 6-7. LATEST 12Z GFS REMAINS CLOSE TO ITS PRIOR RUN AND GFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLES THRU DAY 6. BY DAY 7 SAT IT PUSHES A FRONT FASTER THRU THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HPC PREFERENCE TO STAY WITH THE PRIOR MAJORITY ENSEMBLE SOLUTION LATE PERIOD. [b]TS BERTHA FORECAST TO BECOME HURRICANE MAY APPROACH THE BAHAMAS AND SOUTHEAST SEABOARD NEXT WEEKEND UNDER MID LEVEL RIDGING. SEE NHC DISCUSSIONS/ADVISORIES. CISCO/ROSENSTEIN [/b] So when will the big news outlets begin their careless crusade and GW dribble related to this hurricane season? Over/Under July 8th [/QUOTE]
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