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<blockquote data-quote="zubenelgenubi" data-source="post: 4435339" data-attributes="member: 63706"><p>You can't assume death rates will remain the same as confirmed cases rise. Just the opposite, in fact. All deaths from covid are supposedly confirmed with tests, confirmed cases must necessarily be lower than actual cases, but the number of deaths will ostensibly all be confirmed cases. As the number of confirmed cases catches up to actual cases, the deaths will be where they are, and the death rate vs confirmed cases will drop. It is already reported at around 1% for covid 19. The 2.5 number is the number of new infections believed to be caused by each infection.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="zubenelgenubi, post: 4435339, member: 63706"] You can't assume death rates will remain the same as confirmed cases rise. Just the opposite, in fact. All deaths from covid are supposedly confirmed with tests, confirmed cases must necessarily be lower than actual cases, but the number of deaths will ostensibly all be confirmed cases. As the number of confirmed cases catches up to actual cases, the deaths will be where they are, and the death rate vs confirmed cases will drop. It is already reported at around 1% for covid 19. The 2.5 number is the number of new infections believed to be caused by each infection. [/QUOTE]
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