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<blockquote data-quote="fishtm2001" data-source="post: 4554791" data-attributes="member: 54375">&quot;New York City is and probably will remain the worst-case scenario. New York City has <a href="https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page" target="_blank">lost 23,353 lives</a>. That’s 0.28 percent of the city’s population. If, as some <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/30/health/coronavirus-ny.html" target="_blank">antibody-prevalence surveys suggest</a>, 20 percent of New Yorkers were infected, that’s an infection-fatality rate of more than 1.3 percent, which exceeds what the CDC or anyone else is planning for. To put it in the same terms discussed here, New York City saw 2,780 deaths per million people. A similar scenario across the South and West would kill over 550,000 more Americans in just a few months, moving the country to 680,000 dead. It is unthinkable, and yet, 130,000 deaths—the current national death toll—was once unthinkable, too. &quot;Martin Longman</blockquote>

[QUOTE="fishtm2001, post: 4554791, member: 54375"] "New York City is and probably will remain the worst-case scenario. New York City has [URL='https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page']lost 23,353 lives[/URL]. That’s 0.28 percent of the city’s population. If, as some [URL='https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/30/health/coronavirus-ny.html']antibody-prevalence surveys suggest[/URL], 20 percent of New Yorkers were infected, that’s an infection-fatality rate of more than 1.3 percent, which exceeds what the CDC or anyone else is planning for. To put it in the same terms discussed here, New York City saw 2,780 deaths per million people. A similar scenario across the South and West would kill over 550,000 more Americans in just a few months, moving the country to 680,000 dead. It is unthinkable, and yet, 130,000 deaths—the current national death toll—was once unthinkable, too. " Martin Longman [/QUOTE]

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