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<blockquote data-quote="zubenelgenubi" data-source="post: 4567799" data-attributes="member: 63706"><p>The total number of actual cases will always be greater than confirmed cases, deaths will always be what they are, except for the fraudulent resports. That means the real death rate per infection will always be lower than what the reported numbers indicate. The CDC is now putting their estimate of actual cases at 6 to 24 times higher than reported cases. It was estimated at 70 to 80 times higher early on, then dropped to 20 to 50 times. The reason? More confirmed cases via more tests.</p><p></p><p>The 6 to 24 is based off numbers from April, though. Who knows what it might be now. If it's around 50 times higher, we may be in the lower ranges of what would be the estimated requirement for herd immunity. The current trend nation wide, and in most states that spiked recently, is flattening out, and may be starting a descent. If that's the case, it would be following the trends for the early hot spots stated, and would be evidence that herd immunity may have kicked in.</p><p></p><p>There's no way 100% of the population will get the virus this go round, so your estimate of 1.5 million is pointless. At this point, covid may just barely out-pace medical malpractice as a killer in the US.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="zubenelgenubi, post: 4567799, member: 63706"] The total number of actual cases will always be greater than confirmed cases, deaths will always be what they are, except for the fraudulent resports. That means the real death rate per infection will always be lower than what the reported numbers indicate. The CDC is now putting their estimate of actual cases at 6 to 24 times higher than reported cases. It was estimated at 70 to 80 times higher early on, then dropped to 20 to 50 times. The reason? More confirmed cases via more tests. The 6 to 24 is based off numbers from April, though. Who knows what it might be now. If it's around 50 times higher, we may be in the lower ranges of what would be the estimated requirement for herd immunity. The current trend nation wide, and in most states that spiked recently, is flattening out, and may be starting a descent. If that's the case, it would be following the trends for the early hot spots stated, and would be evidence that herd immunity may have kicked in. There's no way 100% of the population will get the virus this go round, so your estimate of 1.5 million is pointless. At this point, covid may just barely out-pace medical malpractice as a killer in the US. [/QUOTE]
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