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REAL CLEAR POLITICS..... polls and tracking!
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<blockquote data-quote="Jones" data-source="post: 1049761" data-attributes="member: 4805"><p>I agree with that. The point that Silver is making is correct, ie, that for Romney to win at this point most of the polls have to be not just wrong, but historically wrong. All of these polling companies will have to do worse than they have ever done in the past. Collectively. He doesn't deny that that's possible, he just thinks that scenario only has about 16% chance of being right. I think it will probably be close, but I think Obama has a better chance of breaking 300 than Romney does.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jones, post: 1049761, member: 4805"] I agree with that. The point that Silver is making is correct, ie, that for Romney to win at this point most of the polls have to be not just wrong, but historically wrong. All of these polling companies will have to do worse than they have ever done in the past. Collectively. He doesn't deny that that's possible, he just thinks that scenario only has about 16% chance of being right. I think it will probably be close, but I think Obama has a better chance of breaking 300 than Romney does. [/QUOTE]
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REAL CLEAR POLITICS..... polls and tracking!
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