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These Recession Signals are Flashing...
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<blockquote data-quote="bacha29" data-source="post: 5798812" data-attributes="member: 58386"><p>Real economists the ones who are not out there hawking investment strategies for big money are in general agreement that the US GDP growth will end the year somewhere in the 0.5-1.0% range. </p><p>In addition the multiple interest rate cuts some were expecting this year now appears unlikely which seems to indicate that the inflation rate which is trending downward will end up in the 3-3.5% range while higher than the Fed's goal of 2% will still be to the satisfaction of the Fed.</p><p>Keep in mind too that the Federal Reserve has historically not significantly changed Fed fiscal policy in an election year unless very unique and overriding events requires it. </p><p>Indexes have been trending downward to start the year as people realize that they can take their gains now and have 16 months before they have to pay the capital gains taxes owed.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="bacha29, post: 5798812, member: 58386"] Real economists the ones who are not out there hawking investment strategies for big money are in general agreement that the US GDP growth will end the year somewhere in the 0.5-1.0% range. In addition the multiple interest rate cuts some were expecting this year now appears unlikely which seems to indicate that the inflation rate which is trending downward will end up in the 3-3.5% range while higher than the Fed's goal of 2% will still be to the satisfaction of the Fed. Keep in mind too that the Federal Reserve has historically not significantly changed Fed fiscal policy in an election year unless very unique and overriding events requires it. Indexes have been trending downward to start the year as people realize that they can take their gains now and have 16 months before they have to pay the capital gains taxes owed. [/QUOTE]
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