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<blockquote data-quote="Bagels" data-source="post: 1151263" data-attributes="member: 43436"><p>Per TDU, about 70,000 votes were cast in 2007. The contract passed by a margin of about 11,000.</p><p></p><p>TDU has identified the following locals not likely to vote "yes" on this contract, and their respective 2007 votes in favor of the contract:</p><p>89 (Louisville) 1664-760</p><p>396 (Los Angeles) 1255-678</p><p>623 (Philadelphia) 655-366</p><p></p><p>The contracted enjoyed its strongest support in the South (winning by more than 7,000 votes), West (winning by more than 5,000 votes) and upper Midwest (e.g. Milwaukee, Minneapolis; it enjoyed 80-90% margins in these communities). I doubt the margin will change much in the South -- strong conservative, RTW, low cost of living. It'll probably shrink in the West & Midwest. </p><p></p><p>Like I said earlier, we'll get more votes returned by PTers, and most will be overwhelmingly "no" (as others were in 2007). But I doubt there's enough "new" votes or persons switching votes to overcome the 11,000 margin.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Bagels, post: 1151263, member: 43436"] Per TDU, about 70,000 votes were cast in 2007. The contract passed by a margin of about 11,000. TDU has identified the following locals not likely to vote "yes" on this contract, and their respective 2007 votes in favor of the contract: 89 (Louisville) 1664-760 396 (Los Angeles) 1255-678 623 (Philadelphia) 655-366 The contracted enjoyed its strongest support in the South (winning by more than 7,000 votes), West (winning by more than 5,000 votes) and upper Midwest (e.g. Milwaukee, Minneapolis; it enjoyed 80-90% margins in these communities). I doubt the margin will change much in the South -- strong conservative, RTW, low cost of living. It'll probably shrink in the West & Midwest. Like I said earlier, we'll get more votes returned by PTers, and most will be overwhelmingly "no" (as others were in 2007). But I doubt there's enough "new" votes or persons switching votes to overcome the 11,000 margin. [/QUOTE]
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