Anything could happen between now and then. I've seen the day after go very smooth in certain years where the weather conditions held out and there wasn't too much late air, but at some point the odds eventually have to catch up and if it's snow or worse, freezing rain much of that final week then the chances only go up that there won't be any "smooth landing" come the 24th.
I'm hoping I'm wrong, but if I had to bet money I'd think many of us are in store for something more in between what 2017(bad) and 2013(horror show) turned out to be. One blizzard anywhere in the country and there's repercussions felt everywhere else in these times.