Yes. With a slowing economy. What used to be double digit growth now struggles to see 5%.
Yield Curve is inverted....stocks plummeting...RECESSION is coming
- Thread starter Maple Grove MN Driver
- Start date
Jkloc420
Do you need an air compressor or tire gauge
raising rates and stopping qe
Jkloc420
Do you need an air compressor or tire gauge
um no
Brownslave688
You want a toe? I can get you a toe.
Dynamite drop in Monty
KingofFluff
Well-Known Member
Brownslave688
You want a toe? I can get you a toe.
That’s going to help?
Lol. No
If I had to guess I would say that he thought that China would fold pretty quickly under the weight of the tariffs and he would have had his trade war wrapped up by xmas so he could tout a wonderful new trade deal just in time for the election. Obviously that hasn't happened and now he's in a bit of a bind. Even if he backs down now there's no guarantee that will stave off a downturn.
Jkloc420
Do you need an air compressor or tire gauge
no he said the fed was using tools
What a funny gamble! That the Chinese would fold because of economic hardship! What? Is the government afraid they wouldn’t be voted back in?
Sportello
Well-Known Member
He is an idiot. He is but a speck in the eye to China, a fool to be played.
Assuming that a recession is in the works, it has historically taken about 22 months on average to go from an inverted yield curve to a recession.
Source: After a key yield curve inversion, stocks typically have another year and a half before doom strikes
Not like this is an immediate thing...
Brownslave688
You want a toe? I can get you a toe.
I don’t necessarily disagree with the trade war but I don’t think the average American understands how painful it could be.
I told people when he was touting all of this. It sounds great but things will likely get much worse before they get better. And we could be looking a decade into the future before it all plays out.
I would suggest it could be quicker this time because it is global and because the feds arsenal to combat a recession is already nearly exhausted.Assuming that a recession is in the works, it has historically taken about 22 months on average to go from an inverted yield curve to a recession.
Source: After a key yield curve inversion, stocks typically have another year and a half before doom strikes
Not like this is an immediate thing...
Brownslave688
You want a toe? I can get you a toe.
Sometimes I swear English can’t be your first language.
They don't make 2 year t bills.
They have been paying more interest on the short term than the 10 year that's an inverted yield curve. Today it went all the way across the board.
Old Man Jingles
Rat out of a cage
How would you know?
I don't have any data on that one, but it sounds reasonable...
Just a bit irritating that all the news outlets make it sound like a recession is going to start tomorrow.
But hey. Drama sells, I guess.
Maple Grove MN Driver
Cocaine Mang!
Did you even read the chart you have posted several times?
You have zero clue what you are talking about that much is apparent.
Maple Grove MN Driver
Cocaine Mang!
I am a member of the Cognitive Elite.
I am one of the smartest people on this forum.
My intellect dwarfs the combined brain capacity of most of this forum.
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