How big was the operation you ran at Ground?? Anyone being so quick to virtually say an idiot can manage 80 drivers flawlessly and easily sounds like someone who had 1-3 routes. you would be in for a rude awakening.
Also many vehicle leases are not year to year, they are 3 year leases. I don’t know how familiar you are with commercial leases but since I am finally out of one that I had to take over on my new business till last month I will enlighten you. As I was vetting the P&L of this business I saw a truck lease for $1400 per month. I figured they had a new 24’ box truck but no........it was a 2012 Mercedes Sprinter. Lease included maintenance, and insurance but also fluctuated with mileage between $1350-1750 per month!!!!! Now if they make you lease 40 vans for 1 year at a cost of $800 per month (probably a low number) that is $384,000 but more than likely it would be 3 so you would be on the hook of $1,152,000 just in regards to the vehicles to lease. Which is much more than an ISP that would make you close to $300k per year with a contract much easier to lose from what I have read.
I said that you would need more than what an ISP needs to manage the 80 drivers. You seem to lack comprehension. And I had 3 routes at HD and was maxed out at the terminal over a decade ago. When I wanted another, at the time they told me I was maxed out based on having 20% of the HD routes in the terminal. That was right before changes were made. I left because 3 routes was not my plan. I had been told at the day one recruitment meeting that I could grow as big as I wanted, and I knew that anything less than about 10 routes would be a logistical nightmare. I firmly believe that economy of scale plays into hiring and keeping employees. The seven day a week to has a lot of potential benefits too. For one thing, it means the same number of vehicles is generating more work, lowering your costs by almost 30% compared to a five day week.It also allows you to have back up drivers available on every route.
I also said that lease terms would need to be reasonable, and since you would be leasing from Amazon, I would expect the terms to be suited to the job.
ALL I ever said that if things are as stated by Amazon, it seems to me like a possibility, and worth looking into for the ISP, if he thinks he can handle it. I also said that many ISPs who think they are great managers would not be able to handle it, and some probably couldn't even grasp the advantages of a 7 day week when it comes to hiring.
No matter what, if the only risk is $10k, then it is a much better risk than paying 10x that much for a right to service a contract.
I've also worked for companies where drivers had the option to lease vehicles from the business, and those leases provided for an easy lease termination if you left employment at the company. I wouldn't expect ANYONE to be 'on the hook' for a lease directly from the employer as long as you maintained the vehicles.
All said, not considering it would be stupid for anyone in the business already if they have any confidence in their ability. It might even make it possible for an ISP to keep drivers if the Amazon deal allows for better paid drivers by rotating them into Amazon routes part of the time. . But that remains to be seen. If you can only afford to pay $14 an hour for your fedex driver, but can afford $18 for your Amazon drivers, you could average $16 an hour pay. Maybe use fedex as your starting pay position, then flex with Amazon, and for your top drivers, pay them $18. It just opens doors IF the terms are right. The risk is low enough that it might be worth diving in just to see.