These Recession Signals are Flashing...

vantexan

Well-Known Member
You’re talking about massive deflation. The economy will respond with massive layoffs? The government? Massive stimulus. And the cycle of madness continues.
What you're getting at is we need to replace capitalism. Look around you. Capitalism is why the U.S. works. A kinder, gentler form would be nice. But if you want socialism we'll be in an even worse mess eventually.
 

bbsam

Moderator
Staff member
What you're getting at is we need to replace capitalism. Look around you. Capitalism is why the U.S. works. A kinder, gentler form would be nice. But if you want socialism we'll be in an even worse mess eventually.
No. America has always been capitalist. In the 50’s, 60’s, 70’s, 80’s, etc. Somehow people were able to afford a middle class lifestyle. Can they still?

I am suggesting that they really can’t. That’s not good for America nor is it good for capitalism. So what can and should change? Should the social programs like social security, Medicare, Obamacare, VA, get out of the way so that capitalism can thrive? Unions be outlawed to even the playing field? Remove all consumer protections?

If we look at quarterly reports, can we really say that the problem we face is restrained capitalism?
 

sailfish

Master of Karate and Friendship for Everyone
We're :censored2:ED.

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Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
He was predicting the "Big One" by June '23. Didn't happen. But he has very interesting takes on demographics. A lot more people than he are predicting a major crash and looking at what Warren Buffet has sold recently I think major players are covering themselves.
Buffet sold most of those holdings in the first 2 quarters of 2023. The 21B he liquidated went into treasuries and he missed out on the 30% move in the markets in the second half of the year. What's 6B anyway.
 

Babagounj

Strength through joy
  • Hundreds of loans on office buildings are about to come due at a very bad time
  • Loans were taken out in time of low interest rates and are now hard to refinance
  • Too many of the loans defaulting could trigger banking crisis and hurt economy
 
  • Hundreds of loans on office buildings are about to come due at a very bad time
  • Loans were taken out in time of low interest rates and are now hard to refinance
  • Too many of the loans defaulting could trigger banking crisis and hurt economy
The anvil is going to fall from the sky

Look at the PE ratio on stocks
 

BadIdeaGuy

Moderator
Staff member
He does not trade he looks for good deals
He feels at the market is overpriced right now and he will take the extra interest in bank it until we can find another one
He isn't right all the time. And there's definitely many strategies for investing.

But I do find it amusing how many people trash talk his decisions when they have a net worth less than a hundredth of a percent of his.
 

Up In Smoke

Well-Known Member
He does not trade he looks for good deals
He feels at the market is overpriced right now and he will take the extra interest in bank it until we can find another one
He uses large scale options contracts to facilitate investment strategies and uses the premiums to buy into new positions. They use the Black-Scholes Model and trades them in the European style option rules.
 

vantexan

Well-Known Member
No. America has always been capitalist. In the 50’s, 60’s, 70’s, 80’s, etc. Somehow people were able to afford a middle class lifestyle. Can they still?

I am suggesting that they really can’t. That’s not good for America nor is it good for capitalism. So what can and should change? Should the social programs like social security, Medicare, Obamacare, VA, get out of the way so that capitalism can thrive? Unions be outlawed to even the playing field? Remove all consumer protections?

If we look at quarterly reports, can we really say that the problem we face is restrained capitalism?
Here's a tried and true idea. Cut taxes. Then cut government spending where you can. Don't take the increased revenue that cutting taxes brings and go on a spending spree. We're closing in on $35 trillion in debt. We have to stop believing we can have equal outcomes for everyone and throw money away trying to achieve that.
 
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