If the election were held today MAY 2012, OBAMA SMEARS Romney. If you look at the election by polling and electoral states, OBAMA is solidly in the lead and Romney needs a complete miracle ( a christian one, and not a mormon one) to win the election. ELECTION 2012 TRACKING Election 2012 Polling and News, Republican Presidential Candidates, Obama, Interactive Polling Data Romney, who has the LEAST FAVORABILITY of ANY GOP candidate in recent elections, has a TOUGH road ahead. Once he starts talking again outside the "controlled" speaking engagements of his campaign, he will blunder further closer to a B L O W O U T ! Obama: 293 (-6) Romney: 206 (+15) Tossup: 39 (-9) Without Tossups: Obama: 303 (-15) Romney: 235 (+15) Good LUCK GOP!!